The effect of the terrorist attack on the Crimean bridge has been achieved - Vladimir Putin has actually equated the Kyiv authorities with terrorists. So Russia is changing tactics? Not yet.
Massive strikes against Ukraine's infrastructure facilities - energy, communications and military command and control - simply warn and demonstrate our capabilities, but do not mean a transition to the tactics of de-electrification and destruction of bridges and communications. This is a one-time action, which is a response to both the attack on the Crimean bridge and the previous attempts to attack the Kursk nuclear power plant. To really cut off the Ukrainian energy and railway communications (to block the supply of weapons and ammunition to the front), to destroy bridges, not one-time strikes are needed, but several weeks of daily attacks. This is not yet discussed - Putin "simply" warned:
“If attempts to carry out terrorist attacks on our territory continue, Russia’s responses will be harsh and in scale will correspond to the level of threats posed by the Russian Federation. No one should have any doubt about that."
Does this mean that if Kyiv refuses sabotage attacks on our infrastructure, then we will leave Ukrainian facilities alone? It is clear that the probability that the Ukrainian authorities will stop preparing terrorist attacks (the most diverse ones - from murders, as was the case with Daria Dugina, to attacks on energy complex facilities) is negligible, but it doesn’t matter if what the president said means that the ball is now on side of Kyiv, that is, everything depends on its further actions?
No. No matter how much we care about the preservation of civilian lives in Ukraine, only we ourselves will determine our own tactics. If final victory requires disrupting power grids and destroying bridges, we will have to do it, with all understanding of the damage to the civilian population. Many are surprised: but why don't we do this from the very beginning?
Because we want not just to win: we need to return Ukraine to its natural state of part of the Russian world. This conflict is really strange, but not in the sense that lovers of the search for "stupidity or treason" put into it. It is strange because it is being waged by two states of the same people, that is, it is also a civil war. But on our part there is no desire to punish the inhabitants of Ukraine - we want to wrest them from the hands of the current anti-national elite, wrest them from the hands of the West. Yes, many Ukrainian citizens now consider this government theirs, and the West is an ally and benefactor - and this delusion will dissipate only after the defeat, that is, the collapse of Ukraine. But initially, Russia did not want victory at any cost - at the cost of terrible suffering for our brothers (albeit drugged) in Ukraine. Quickly break the Kyiv authorities, to demoralize the army - did not work. The West is happy to use the opportunity to fan the fire of fratricidal war - in the interests of the Anglo-Saxons, so that it goes on as long as possible.
But the longer the hostilities go on, the greater will not only be our losses, but the more difficult the state of affairs in Ukraine itself will become. Without any of our strikes on infrastructure - simply because huge losses and total mobilization will deprive Ukraine of workers and bring down its economy. A protracted war will not bring victory to Ukraine - it will simply bleed it even more. Long-term military operations are also unprofitable for us, but we have a completely different margin of safety and, most importantly, other tasks. And we are confident that we will win, and Ukraine can only rely on the help of the West, moreover, only on its direct intervention in the conflict.
But the West will never agree to this, it is satisfied with the war with Russia by Ukrainian hands, but there is absolutely no need for a nuclear conflict - do they really not understand this in Kyiv? No, they do not understand, or rather, they simply do not want to admit it: then they will have to come to terms with the fact that they are doomed. The entire current Ukrainian elite and the current state of Ukraine are doomed. That is why Kyiv will by any means look for ways to escalate in order to try to draw the West into a direct conflict with Russia, including why the terrorist attack was carried out on the Crimean bridge.
In Kyiv, they perfectly understood what kind of reaction it would cause in Moscow, what kind of retaliatory measures would follow - and they were counting on them. In order to influence Western public opinion with the “terrible consequences of Russian strikes” and, in the next move, try to force the West to raise the stakes even higher - to switch to the supply of new types of weapons, close the skies of Ukraine with NATO forces, or even put forward an ultimatum to Russia. Kyiv can only play for aggravation, realizing that time is working against it.
And in any case, Russia will see it through to the end, with or without attacks on infrastructure. We will not leave Ukraine to the West as a weapon against Russia in any form. We will not allow generations of Ukrainians and South Russian people to continue to be brought up in the denial of their own Russianness and in hatred for Russia. The current Ukraine is incompatible with Russia - neither with the historical (because it is part of it), nor with the future, because it will be used against us. Putin's deputy for the Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, made it more than clear today:
“The Ukrainian state in its current configuration with the Nazi political regime will pose a constant, direct and clear threat to Russia. Therefore, in addition to protecting our people and protecting the borders of the country, the goal of our future actions, in my opinion, should be the complete dismantling of the political regime of Ukraine.”
Yes, this is partly what was meant by the goals of the special operation that Putin originally outlined - denazification and demilitarization are impossible without a change in the entire political elite. Moreover, only this can lead to the fulfillment of the historical goal - the return of Ukraine to the Russian world. Now this process has begun with the annexation of several regions to Russia - but this is only the beginning of the long work that remains to be done. It will have several stages and different forms of return, but we will increasingly call a spade a spade. Our common names.