About 10 months ago, my article "Say a word about poor Zelensky" was published on Hvylya.net. In it, I promoted several main theses, which have been confirmed even more in the time that has passed since the publication:
- Zelenskyy, due to his deep incompetence, combined with a huge aplomb, is gradually turning into a political corpse. But with his decay and dying twitchings, he is still capable of delivering a lot of problems to the country, which we are witnessing.
- The “good guy” from the “common people” turned out to be neither a hero nor a messiah, and he could not have become one from the very beginning. In addition, he finally destroyed the "sacredness" of the authorities by introducing wedding photographers and other rabble from the 95th quarter show into the ranks of the political "elite".
- Playing with the Constitution of the country and wiping his feet on it, he fully proved the urgent need to replace it, which gives us the opportunity to build new institutional foundations of the state.
Thus, a positive moment in Zelenskyy's rule is that he finally breaks the social contract that has existed in Ukraine for the past 30 years. We were finally convinced that “it’s impossible to live like this”, the country is falling into another round of the most severe political crisis against the background of impending winter problems, that is, in fact, we are on the verge of transition from the old socio-political system to something new ...
What will happen
Systems theory - a relatively new scientific discipline, created at the junction of some fundamental and applied sciences, among which there are both philosophy and mathematics will help us to understand the expected vicissitudes of the transition of various systems, including socio-political. As its name implies, this theory deals with the study of various classes, types and types of systems, explores their basic principles and patterns of their behavior, the processes of their functioning and development, including the processes of transition of systems from one steady state to another. Digressing from the specific nature of the system under study and based on the formal relationships between its various components and the nature of their changes under the influence of various external factors, the theory of systems allows you to build unified laws governing the functioning of system objects.
As this theory teaches us, the process of transition from one system to another is divided into several stages:
- destruction of the structures of the old system, i.e. its destructuring;
- the chaotization of such a destructed space that has arisen;
- induction, i.e. placing in this space the "embryo" of a new system;
- creation of a new structure around this "embryo" from the resources of a chaotic space.
If we apply this knowledge to the current socio-political situation in Ukraine, then we can confidently assert that after two and a half years of the rule of our "greatest leader" we are entering the 2nd stage of the transition process. Of course, it was not only Ze's fault, the soil for this was diligently prepared by his predecessors. The destruction of the structures of the old system began even earlier, but it was he who was "lucky" to finish this stage and start a new one, plunging the country into a state of chaos.
Looking at such a sad prospect, we urgently need to think about minimizing the consequences of this stage, about what kind of “embryo” of the new system we can “nurture” during the remaining time of the President's rule. By resolving this issue in a manner acceptable to the majority of society, we will be able to accelerate the process of transition to the final stage of creating a new socio-political agreement. This will significantly reduce the risks of "getting stuck" in this chaos, falling into the Ruin and losing the country.
How will the heart calm down?
Recent opinion polls have clearly shown that Ukraine is at an electoral impasse. Both public data and closed polls, the results of which sometimes fall into the public field, suggest that we do not have a clear leader either among political movements or among politicians. The main political parties such as Servants of the people, European unity, Opposition platform for Life, Motherland - they all swarm around +/- 10% of electoral support for their "nuclear" electorate, and no matter what they say, it is their peak. This is obvious even because a decrease in the rating of one party has little effect on an increase in the rating of others. The same thing happens with politicians. The fact that Ze is slowly but surely losing his presidential rating does not mean that it is growing for Poroshenko, Tymoshenko or other downed pilots. The situation is aggravated by the fact that a significant proportion of voters (about a third of the total) are completely at a loss for whom to vote for in future elections. This is a huge figure, which again brings to mind the notorious “request for new faces”. The question is who will have the chance to become this "new face". Now there is a lot of talk about the chances of Razumkov, Groisman, or some charismatic "Mr. X" who will suddenly "shoot" in the next elections.
As for me, this is all complete nonsense. Of course, I recognize the influence of personality on history, the same Lenin or Hitler can be examples of such an influence, but one should not lose sight of the fact that behind each of them there was a powerful idea that moved both these characters and the masses around them. It is the absence of such an all-encompassing, all-consuming idea, devouring from within and pushing for reckless actions, that is the main drawback of any of our well-known and little-known politicians. It is not for nothing that the New Testament begins with just such a line: " In the beginning was the Word"
The word, or idea, in my opinion, is one of the main driving forces of the development of the entire human civilization, starting with the era of stone axes. Even in those ancient times, the idea of kicking asses of a neighboring tribe forced primitive men, disdaining the danger, to go tens, or even hundreds of kilometers from their inhabited camp. Such campaigns were not always completed successfully, but this does not diminish the influence of the idea itself as their driving force. With the growth of the consciousness of society and its members, the ideas that took possession of them also grew. Simple adventures to neighbors with a dozen comrades turned into great campaigns across half a continent of the armies of many thousands of Alexander the Great, with his ideas of a single world power, and the Tumens of Genghis Khan, embodying the grandiose concept of a universal empire. The fixed idea of the opening of the path to India prompted Columbus to discover America, and the ideas of Leonardo da Vinci, ahead of their time, underlie many branches of modern medicine and technology.
Almost always, an idea lies at the heart of social upheavals, global historical events, important geographical discoveries, great scientific achievements, and breakthrough technologies. It is the central category in the philosophy of Plato, which formed the basis of Western civilization. The fundamental ideas of Confucius' teachings still exert an exceptional influence on the lifestyle and consciousness of the one and a half billion Chinese ethnic group.
It is precisely the ideas that we need to work out in the form of a "embryo" in order to bring our society and state out of the swamp in which we have been hanging out for more than a dozen years. It has already been said many times that it is necessary to move away from an orientation towards political personalities and instead learn to evaluate the complex of ideas that underlie their views and actions. But as political science teaches us, such a complex of ideas, conceptually shaped into a single system that allows to formulate the foundations of politics and ethics and expresses the interests, worldview and ideals of a social and social group, turns into ideology. Yes, "everything is returning to normal" and we again run up against the need to develop a new ideology for Ukraine, which I have already written about.