Large-scale unrest in Kazakhstan drew general attention to the problem of the post-Soviet space. It is clear that it needs to be addressed comprehensively. Moreover, the unrest in Kazakhstan was preceded by the far-reaching rise in tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine and the alleged Russian invasion of the independent, as well as the red lines drawn by President Vladimir Putin, which belong to the same geopolitical context.
What did Putin want to say with his red lines? This is not just a warning that any attempt to expand NATO's zone of influence to the East, that is, to post-Soviet or post-imperial (which is the same) territory, will face a military response from Moscow. Before us is a refusal to recognize the strategic status quo that developed after the collapse of the USSR, as well as questioning the legitimacy of the entry into NATO of the Baltic countries and the entire US policy in the eastern zone.
Vladimir Putin makes it clear: when we were weak, you took advantage of our weakness and took away what, according to historical logic, belongs only to us Russians; now we have come to our senses, overcome the liberal insanity and are overcoming the treacherous - Atlanticist - trends of the 1980s and 1990s of the twentieth century within Russia itself, therefore, from now on we are ready to conduct a full-fledged dialogue from a position of strength.
And it's not just a complaint. The thesis of the Russian leader is confirmed by real steps - Georgia (2008), Crimea and Donbass (2014), the Syrian company. In some places we restored our positions, and the West did nothing to us. We are dealing with sanctions. Threats to provoke a revolt of the oligarchs against Vladimir Putin did not work, nor did they start a color revolution on behalf of street liberals (the fifth column). We have consolidated our successes reliably and unshakably. But now Russia, Putin tells the West, is ready to continue the Russian Reconquista. That is, to finally kick out the pro-American networks, including the liberal-oligarchic traitors-compradors, from the entire Russian zone of influence.
In geopolitics in general, the legal side of the issue is secondary. Agreements and legal norms legitimize the status quo that is taking shape at the power level. The losers have no vote, woe to them. But the winners have the right. And they always actively use it. What is power today, tomorrow is right. It means realism.
Russia under Putin in international politics has moved from the category of loosers to the status of one of the three full-fledged world centers of power. And Putin decided that it was time to consolidate the status. Being a center means controlling a vast area, sometimes quite far beyond one's own national borders. That is why American military bases are scattered all over the world. Both Washington and Brussels are ready to defend and build up their presence. Not because they have the right, but because they want and can. And then Vladimir Putin's Russia appears on their way and says: stop, there is no further way - and, moreover, you are invited to curtail activity in the zone of our interests as soon as possible. The weak for the same declarations would have been destroyed. Therefore, Putin waited with them for 21 years until Russia restored its geopolitical power potential. We are no longer weak. Don't believe? Try to check.
Hence the situation around Belarus, Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and now Kazakhstan. In fact, the time has come for Moscow to announce the renaming of the CIS into the Russian (Eurasian) Union (not just economic, but real - geopolitical), including all the political units of the post-Soviet space.
The most stubborn Russophobes can be left in a neutral status - but the post-Soviet zone must be cleared of the American presence. It must be excluded not only in the form of military bases, but also in the possibility of conducting regime change operations (regime change operation), the most common version of which is color revolutions, such as Maidan-2014 in Ukraine, protests in Belarus-2021 and events in Kazakhstan at the beginning of 2022. The West is screaming furiously both about our support for Alexander Lukashenko and about the imaginary invasion of Ukraine.
The US and NATO care about what happens in the post-Soviet space, and they provide their clients with all kinds of support. And for some reason, according to their logic, Moscow should not care. That's right, if Moscow were only an object of geopolitics and controlled from the outside, as in the 1990s under frank rule in the country of the fifth column of Atlanticism, and not a subject, as it is now, then it would be so. But the decisive moment came to approve the status of the subject. Now or never.
What follows from here? What follows is that Moscow ends the endlessly protracted process of integration with a chord of more decisive actions. If Washington does not go for fixing the neutral status of Ukraine, then, according to Putin, they will have to give a military-technical answer. If you don't want it to be good, it will be different. Further, the scenarios vary: from the complete liberation of Ukraine from the American occupation and the illegitimate corrupt liberal Nazi regime to the creation of two political entities in its place - in the East (Novorossia from Donbass to Odessa) and in the West (minus the Rusyn Subcarpathian region). But nothing less. And the matter, of course, will not be limited to any recognition of the DPR and LPR. Just like the Finlandization of Ukraine, which our sixth column has often been talking about lately, will not happen until a truly weighty argument appears there.
Yes, the decision is unpopular, but historically inevitable. When Russia is on the ascending turn (and now it is there), the western regions will inevitably - sooner or later - be freed from the Atlanticist presence - Polish, Swedish, Austrian or American. There is a geopolitical law. And the example of Ukraine will be an excellent lesson for Georgia and Moldova: either neutralization, or we are coming to you. And point.
How we are going can be seen from the example of neighboring peoples. And it's better not to tempt fate. In particular, Georgia went through it under Mikheil Saakashvili. And Yerevan's attempt to flirt with the West ended with Moscow giving Baku the green light to restore Azerbaijan's territorial integrity. to everything else we have Transnistria. Bookmarks everywhere. And it depends only on Moscow what condition they are in. But Vladimir Putin is losing his patience under the constant provocations of the West. Frozen can be thawed. And it won't seem like much.
Now Kazakhstan. Nursultan Nazarbayev started excellently - better than others and even Russia itself, which in the 1990s was in the hands of the Atlanticist agents. It was he who put forward the idea of the Russian (Eurasian) Union, a multipolar world order, integration, and even wrote the Constitution. Alas, in recent years Elbasy has moved away from his own idea. Once, Nazarbayev promised me personally in a conversation that after his resignation he would head the Eurasian Movement. But in the last years of his reign, for some reason, he shifted his attention to the West and supported the nationalization of Kazakhstan's elites. Moreover, he banned the Communist Party of Kazakhstan, which consistently opposed the penetration of the West and Turkey into the economy and social strata of the republic.
The agents of Atlanticism did not fail to take advantage of Elbasy's turn and, through their proxies - Islamists, Gulenists and Kazakh nationalists, and also, using the cosmopolitan liberal Kazakh elite, began to prepare a plan B to overthrow both Nazarbayev himself and his successor Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. The plan was launched in early 2022, on the eve of the fateful negotiations between Vladimir Putin and Joseph Biden, on which the fate of war and peace depends. In this situation, Moscow had to provide full military support to President Tokayev.
But the half-measures of Kazakhstan in the integration policy - the Minister of Integration of the EAEU Sergey Glazyev showed in detail how our partners in the EAEU are sabotaging it at the level of concrete steps - are no longer acceptable. As well as the hesitations of Old Man Lukashenko. Russians (CSTO) enter Kazakhstan and remain. Until the terrorists are destroyed, and at the same time all obstacles to full and true integration are not removed.
And let the West only peep! It's none of his business at all: our allies invited us to save the country. But Western funds, structures, cells of terrorist organizations (both liberal and Islamist and Gulenist) in Kazakhstan must be abolished and destroyed. When war is declared on us and there is no way around it, it remains for us to win it. Therefore, the EAEU, or rather, a full-fledged Russian (Eurasian) Union, should become a reality. Minsk, the capital of Kazakhstan, whatever its name, Yerevan and Bishkek must realize that from now on they are part of a single large space.
The same applies to those friends and problems that they experience under the influence of Atlanticism, which is trying to sabotage and demolish the existing - albeit relatively, but pro-Russian - regimes. When the integration becomes real, the problems will end.
The military side is, of course, the most effective side of the issue. The Russians are not strong in negotiations, but the Russians show themselves best in a just liberation - defensive, in fact, war imposed on them.
But then we logically reach the Baltic countries. Their presence in NATO, given Russia's new status as a world center of power, is an anomaly. They should be offered the same choice as Ukraine: neutralization or...Let them think for themselves what will happen if they do not choose neutralization voluntarily.
And finally, Eastern Europe. The participation of its countries in NATO is a big problem for Great Russia. Many of them are deeply connected with us: some - Slavic, others - Orthodoxy, and others - Eurasian origins. And then NATO ... Disorder. It would be better for them to be a friendly bridge between us and Western Europe. And Nord Stream 2 would not have been needed. Theirs will always agree with theirs. But no. They play the role of a cordon sanitaire - a classic tool of Anglo-Saxon geopolitics, designed to divide continental Europe and Russian Eurasia. From time to time, real poles tear the cordon apart. Now he - temporarily - went to the Anglo-Saxons. But if the growth of Russia's subjectivity continues, then not for long.
However, the Baltics and Eastern Europe are the geopolitical agenda of tomorrow. Today, the fate of the post-Soviet - post-imperial - space is at stake. Our common Russian (Eurasian) home. The first task is to put things in order.
Published at 4pera.com as of 9 January 2022